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Statistical Models for Prognostication
Author Bio
Introduction
Predictions: Statistical Models
Insight: Statistical Models
Currently selected section: Ingredients: Statistical Models
Theoretical Aspects
Central Concepts
Regression Models
Problems: Regression
Practical Advice
Example 1
Example 2




Chapter 8: Statistical Models for Prognostication: Ingredients of Statistical Models
        

Multivariable Analysis

We focus on regression analyses where multiple predictors are considered, also called "multivariable analysis." Such an analysis is in contrast to a univariable (or "simple") analysis, where single predictor variables are considered. A multivariable regression analysis provides predictions based on the combined predictive effect of predictors.

In epidemiology, the correlation between covariables is often referred to as "confounding", i.e. that the "true" effect of an exposure covariable is mixed up with that of one or more covariables when a univariable (or "crude") analysis is performed (Kleinbaum et al., 1982). In principle, confounding may be removed by a multivariable (or "adjusted") analysis.

QUESTION 4.2

In medicine, predictor variables usually have positive correlations (when higher values of the predictor indicate higher risk). Consider the situation of having estimated a univariable regression coefficient for a sign of atherosclerosis. In a multivariable analysis, we include other signs of atherosclerosis as well. What can be expected for the multivariable regression coefficient when compared to the univariable regression coefficient?

Selection AThe coefficient is unchanged, although signs of atherosclerosis are correlated.
Selection BThe coefficient has increased, because signs of atherosclerosis are correlated.
Selection CThe coefficient has decreased, because signs of atherosclerosis are correlated.

QUESTION 4.3

In medicine, the term "multivariate analysis" is often used when one is referring to a multivariable analysis. "Multivariate," however, implies a statistical analysis with multiple outcomes (in contrast to multiple predictors, which should be labeled "multivariable"). Which one of the following analyses is not an example of a true multivariate analysis?

Selection AAn analysis where the effect of a treatment is analyzed on pain as measured at day 1, day 3, and day 7 after the start of treatment
Selection BAn analysis where pain at day 14 is predicted based on pain and quality of life scores at day 1, day 3, and day 7 after the start of treatment
Selection CAn analysis where the effect of a treatment is analyzed on both pain and nausea as measured at day 1 after the start of treatment

 

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