Chapter 8: Statistical Models for Prognostication, by Ewout W. Steyerberg, PhD, Department of Public Health, Erasmus University Rotterdam, the Netherlands, and Professor Frank E. Harrell Jr, PhD, Department of Health Evaluation Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA


	Table of Contents

	Author Biography
	Introduction
	Predictions from Statistical Models
	Insight from Statistical Models
	Ingredients of Statistical Models
	Theoretical Aspects of Predictive Modeling
	Central Concepts in Predictive Modeling
	Development of Regression Models
	Problems with Regression Models
	Practical Advice for Regression Modeling
	Example 1: Gallstones
	Example 2: HELP Survival Model