“Discount
rate” is an economic term which refers
to an increase in value required to
compensate for a delay. For example,
if I were indifferent between $500 now
and $1000 a year from now, then my annual
discount rate would be 100%, because
$1000 represents a 100% increase in
the $500 over the course of the year.
To illustrate the applicability of this
concept to medicine, consider these
two questions based on research by Chapman
(1996):
Question
1
Suppose
you had won a lottery. You may choose between two monetary prizes.
You can receive either $500 right now or ________ one year from
now. Select the number which would make you indifferent between
the immediate $500 prize and the delayed prize.
Question
2
You need to take medication . . . once a day. You must also be
very careful about what foods you eat, so you spend a lot of time
keeping track of what you eat. You find it necessary to visit
the bathroom quite often to urinate.
You
often feel tired and sometimes feel light-headed. You sometimes
have trouble falling asleep and sometimes have nightmares when
you do sleep. Your mouth sometimes feels dry, and foods do not
seem to have as much taste as they used to. You don’t have as
much desire for sex as you used to, and you do not find sex an
enjoyable as you used to. You often feel angry or irritated,
and it is difficult to concentrate.
You
may choose between two treatments.
Treatment
A would return you to full health for 1 year and would take effect
today.
Treatment
B would return you to full health for _______ years; however,
the treatment would not take effect until 1 year from today.
Select
the number that would make you indifferent between the immediate
health improvement and the delayed one.