The
omission
bias is manifested when a more harmful act of omission
is preferred to a less harmful act of commission. To illustrate
this point, consider this question taken from
Asch
et al., (1994). After reading the question, please choose
an answer.
Imagine
that, in the state in which you live in, there had been several
epidemics of a certain kind of flu which can be fatal to children
under 3. A vaccine for this kind of flu has been developed and
tested. The vaccine eliminates the chance of getting the flu.
The vaccine, however, might cause side effects that are also sometimes
fatal. Out of every 10,000 children under 3 who are not vaccinated,
10 will die from the flu.
Suppose
that the overall death rate for vaccinated children were 5 out
of 10,000. Would you vaccinate your child? (Choose one of the
two options.)
This
seems like an easy question to answer, because the vaccination
is much less lethal than the disease it prevents. However, if
you would permit vaccination of your child under these circumstances,
you would not agree with the majority of the parents who responded
to the survey by Asch et al. Most parents responding to this
survey preferred to omit the vaccination when it caused 5 deaths
per 10,000, thereby exposing their children to a higher mortality
rate from the disease! This finding represents an example of
the omission bias, because the more harmful act of omitting the
vaccination is preferred to a less harmful act of vaccinating.
Asch
et al. related parents’ responses to the survey to the parents’
actual decisions to have their children vaccinated with diphtheria-pertussis-tetanus
vaccine (DPT). This vaccine does have rare, serious side effects.
Those parents who either did permit their children to be given
DPT vaccine or intended to do so were willing to tolerate a risk
of 5.4 deaths from the flu vaccine in the above hypothetical scenario.
Those who would not allow their children to be given DPT vaccine
required that the flu vaccine in the scenario cause no more than
2.4 deaths. The parents who would not permit DPT vaccinations
indicated that they would “ . . . feel responsible if anything
had happened because of DPT vaccine.” They tended not to endorse
the notion that they would “ . . . feel responsible if anything
had happened because I failed to vaccinate.” In other words,
many parents feel more responsible for a bad outcome if it takes
place following their action than if the bad outcome simply occurs,
even if their action would have made the bad outcome far less
likely. This is the hallmark of the omission bias.