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Tools for Decision Making Sections
Author Bio
Introduction
Part I
Expected Value Decision Making
Case Study 2: Patient History
Using a Decision Tree
Currently selected section: Assigning Utility
Expected Value and QALYs
Sensitivity Analysis
Conclusions: Case Study 2
Part III

References


Chapter 14: Tools for Decision Making: Assigning Utility
        

Problem 2.4.2 - Creating a Decision Tree

Now it's time to create the decision tree for the injured rock climber. Grab a paper and pencil. Sketch out a decision tree for the rock climber using the following probabilities in the table below.

Event Abbreviation Probability
Death during transplantation surgery pSurgDie 0.02
Rejection of transplanted foot
pRejec 0.6
Treatment of infection saves injured foot
pSave 0.6
Death after uncontrolled infection pDie 0.125

If you need help, you can review the format of a decision tree or the rock climber's possible outcomes by clicking on the links below

Click to review format of a decision tree

Click to review rock climber's possible outcomes

 

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